Investment

July General Markets Comments

by Pierre Mouton

July General Markets Comments

«The Magnificent Seven» – The Clash, 1980

“Gimme Honda, gimme Sony, so cheap and, real phony” goes Joe Strummer in this legendary song from the Clash. We could transpose this into “Gimme Tesla, gimme Meta” today, as those two stocks stand among the magnificent seven performers of 2023 so far (with Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple and Nvidia); the difference is that they don’t seem phony, and, for most of them, they’re far from being “so cheap”. In fact, these seven companies contributed to more than 55% of the performance of the S&P500 this year, which means that we could easily talk about a S&P 7 versus a S&P 493.

July 2023 has been a good month, again, for all risk assets: the MSCI World added 3.3%, the S&P500 3.1%, the Stoxx 600 2% (but the euro rose 0.9% versus the greenback), the Topix 1.5% (the Yen being up 1.5% versus the dollar after the change of tone from the BoJ regarding its yield curve control), and finally Emerging Markets caught up with a 5.8% return.

Styles reverted a smidgen on a global basis, with the MSCI World Value advancing more than the MSCI World Growth (3.7% versus 2.9%). One can still feel flummoxed when looking at the performance gap between both indices this year, Growth being up 30.2% versus a meagre 6.3% for Value. All hopes of a return to the mean between styles have been dwarfed in 2023.

July has also been very profitable for Credit, again, as the Itraxx Crossover added 1.5%, for Commodities (Gold up 2.4%, Oil 15.8%), which finally leaves Government Bonds as the only outliers with rising yields overall: +12 bps for the US 10 year, +10 for Bunds and +21 for JGBs.

 

 

 

 

Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views, strategies and financial instruments described in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed are current opinions as of date(s) appearing in this material only. References to market or composite indices, benchmarks or other measures of relative market performance over a specified period of time are provided for your information only. NS PARTNERS SA provides no warranty and makes no representation of any kind whatsoever regarding the accuracy and completeness of any data, including financial market data or other financial instruments referred to in this general comment. This document does not constitute an offer or solicitation to any person in any jurisdiction in which such offer or solicitation is not authorized or to any person to whom it would be unlawful to make such offer or solicitation. Any reference in this document to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be interpreted as recommendations to purchase or sell those securities. References in this document to investment funds that have not been registered with the FINMA cannot be distributed in or from Switzerland except to certain categories of eligible investors. Some of the entities of the NS Partners Group or its clients may hold a position in the financial instruments of any issuer discussed herein, or act as advisor to any such issuer. Additional information is available on request. © NS Partners Group

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October General Market Comments

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