Investment

Chart of the Month – Are you familiar with the name Sam Brannan?

by Pierre Mouton

Are you familiar with the name Sam Brannan?

Source: Bloomberg, NS Partners

Sam Brannan is frequently cited as California’s first millionaire, during the famous Gold Rush of the 19th century. And guess what? He has never dug in the ground or sifted mud in order to find the precious gold nuggets everybody was desperately thriving for.

How did he manage to make a fortune, while staying warm, dry and clean-handed?

Well, he simply was able to sell what gold prospectors needed to try to extract the shiny stuff: picks, shovels and sieves. 300’000 people rushed in California to find gold, most of them in 1849, which gave rise to the moniker “the San Francisco 49ers”. And most of them became Brannan’s clients, eventually.

Fast forward in the 21st century, we witness a data collection and analysis rush, with the unstoppable emergence of data centers. In this context, we can easily identify the “data collectors”, like Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet or Meta, among others

They must relentlessly invest in hardware to digest these gigantic amounts of data aimed at feeding their Artificial Intelligence ambitions. But these data centers generate high levels of heat, and therefore absolutely need cooling to function properly.

This is where a group of companies, the “data centers coolers”, come into action. Companies like Vertiv, Trane Technologies, Johnson Controls International, Lennox or Carrier provide big tech with indispensable cooling solutions.

As shown on the chart of the month, an equal weighted basket of these 5 stocks has vastly outperformed an equal weighted basket composed of Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet and Meta in 2024.

And this confirms that, each time a big investment theme arises, the largest beneficiaries can be found well beyond the usual suspects everybody thinks about at first glance. And that’s good news: we know that the Magnificent-7 capex will be massive the next few years. And many companies will benefit from it. Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning stocks are just one example; from Building Materials to Energy Producers or Utility service providers, there are plenty of opportunities for good stock picking that should last for a while. It is time to be curious and look for other long-term winners in this AI craze.

 

 

 

 

 

Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views, strategies and financial instruments described in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed are current opinions as of date(s) appearing in this material only. References to market or composite indices, benchmarks or other measures of relative market performance over a specified period of time are provided for your information only. NS Partners provides no warranty and makes no representation of any kind whatsoever regarding the accuracy and completeness of any data, including financial market data, quotes, research notes or other financial instrument referred to in this document. This document does not constitute an offer or solicitation to any person in any jurisdiction in which such offer or solicitation is not authorized or to any person to whom it would be unlawful to make such offer or solicitation. Any reference in this document to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be interpreted as recommendations to purchase or sell those securities. References in this document to investment funds that have not been registered with the FINMA cannot be distributed in or from Switzerland except to certain categories of eligible investors. Some of the entities of the NS Partners Group or its clients may hold a position in the financial instruments of any issuer discussed herein, or act as advisor to any such issuer.  Additional information is available on request.
© NS Partners Group

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Antonio Mira
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER, MEMBER OF THE EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE

Antonio Mira joined NS Partners in 2006 as Group Chief Financial Officer. He heads the corporate functions and is involved in coordinating and implementing the decisions of the Executive Committee.
An experienced bank auditor, Antonio started his career in 1995 with Arthur Andersen, where he worked for some 7 years before joining Ernst & Young in 2002 as a Senior Manager.
Antonio is a Swiss chartered accountant and a Business graduate of Lausanne University (HEC).

Sébastien Poiret
DEPUTY HEAD OF WEALTH MANAGEMENT

Sébastien Poiret joined NS Partners in 2008 and manages funds of hedge funds and private client mandates. He also oversees the development of the Group’s offices in Mauritius.

Prior to joining NS Partners, he served as a Trader, Head of Manager research and Portfolio Manager in the USA and Switzerland for a single hedge fund (1998-2004) and for Optimal (2004-2008), Grupo Santander’s fund-of-hedge funds operations.

Sébastien holds a Bachelor’s degree in Corporate Finance from the ESPEME Business School (EDHEC Group) and an MBA in Finance and Economics from the Institute of Business Administration, both in Nice.

Abir Oreibi
BOARD DIRECTOR

Abir Oreibi joined the Board of the NS Partners Group in 2018, where she brings her truly international perspective and rich experience.
Among many other ventures, Abir set up Alibaba.com’s first European office. After living and working in Shanghai, Hong Kong, Bangkok and London, she now lives in Geneva, where she is CEO of Lift Events, an organization that identifies technology trends, their business and social impact through the organization of events and open innovation programs. Issues related to the challenges and opportunities created by new technologies as well as the strategic responses from organizations are at the heart of Lift’s activities.
Abir holds a BA in Political Sciences from the University of Geneva. She is an investor, and member of advisory and innovation boards.

Romain Pidoux, CAIA

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Romain Pidoux joined NS Partners in 2011 and heads the Group’s Risk Management.
He started his financial career in 2005 as Head of Quantitative Analysis for a Swiss Family Office, selecting funds and managing portfolio allocation. In 2008, he switched to the alternative world and joined Peak Partners as hedge funds analyst.
He is a Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst (CAIA) and holds a Master’s degree in international relations from the Graduate Institute of International Studies at Geneva University.

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